Trump just won another primary state — and here’s what we have to say about it

Summary

Donald Trump won two early Republican primary states, making him very likely to become the nominee. There is speculation his legal issues could derail his campaign. Canada is concerned about more protectionist trade policies under Trump. Trudeau says Canada must prepare for difficult relations given Trump's vicious and unpredictable political style. The economic context is different now versus Trump's first term, so the impacts are unknown. Overall there is uncertainty over how things will unfold between the countries under Trump.

Takeaways

• 😀 Donald Trump won the New Hampshire Republican primary by a large margin, making him very likely to become the nominee
• 😮 Nikki Haley plans to stay in the race despite her poor New Hampshire showing
• 🗓️ The next GOP contests are in Nevada and South Carolina in February
• 😕 The author believes the primary process winds down too quickly to give other candidates a fair chance
• 🇨🇦 Canadian PM Trudeau is already preparing for continued difficult relations with the US under Trump
• 😥 The author feels the lengthy primary process is unnecessary given Trump's dominance
• 😨 There is a possibility Trump could face criminal charges amidst his campaign
• 😠 The author feels Trump's New Hampshire victory speech was unnecessarily vicious
• 😬 Biden and Trump both have protectionist trade policies concerning Canada
• 😳 The author believes the economic and political climate makes dealing with Trump very unpredictable for Canada

Q & A

Who won the New Hampshire Republican primary?

Donald Trump won the New Hampshire Republican primary with over 54% of the vote.

What record did Trump accomplish by winning Iowa and New Hampshire?

Trump accomplished something very rare by winning both the Iowa caucus and New Hampshire primary. The last two presidents, Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton, were not able to win both.

What big Republican contest is coming up next?

The next big Republican contest is in Nevada in early February, which has both a caucus and a primary.

What did Justin Trudeau say about preparing for relations with the US under Trump?

Trudeau said that Canada is already preparing for relations with the US whether Trump wins again or loses. He recognizes it will be an ongoing issue either way.

How did Trump's New Hampshire victory affect the author?

The author was affected not so much by Trump's victory itself, but by the vicious and vengeful way Trump delivered his victory speech.

What are some ways Trump could negatively impact trade with Canada?

Trump could increase US protectionism, trying to manufacture more products domestically rather than trading with countries like Canada. He could also threaten to rip up trade agreements again, as he did with NAFTA previously.

Why can't Canada rely on past experience in dealing with Trump this time?

Trump is very unpredictable, so past experience in dealing with him does not necessarily indicate how he would behave as president again. Also, the economic context is very different now, raising the stakes.

What is Justin Trudeau's plan for dealing with relations with Trump?

Trudeau plans to assign two cabinet ministers specifically to handle diplomatic relations with Trump's administration. However, the author is skeptical this will be sufficient.

What warning does the author give about assuming things will go the same as last time with Trump?

The author warns that the economic context and Trump's apparent increased vindictiveness this time around mean we cannot rely on past experience to predict how things will unfold.

Why could volatile trade relations with the US be especially problematic for Canada now?

With the current economic environment in Canada, prolonged trade volatility with its number one partner, the US, could have very negative consequences.

Outlines

00:00

😕 Trump wins New Hampshire primary easily; seen as unstoppable now

Paragraph 1 discusses Donald Trump's decisive victory in the New Hampshire Republican primary. It notes he won over 54% of the vote, making it very difficult for other candidates like Nikki Haley to catch up. The paragraph states the next contests are in Nevada and South Carolina in February, but with momentum and funding, Trump seems unstoppable at this point.

05:01

😟 Concerns over how Trump's unpredictability could impact Canada

Paragraph 2 talks about concerns in Canada over how Donald Trump's unpredictable personality and protectionist trade policies could negatively impact Canada if he becomes president again. It notes that while Canada has dealt with Trump before, he may be totally different now in his second term. There are worries over potential US protectionism and volatility in the trading relationship.

Keywords

💡primary

A primary election is a process by which voters can select their preferred candidate to represent a political party in a general election. The video discusses the Republican presidential primary contests in Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina. Trump's decisive victories make him the presumptive nominee.

💡nominee

A nominee is a candidate officially selected by a political party to represent them in a general election. Given Trump's dominant performance so far, he is on his way to becoming the Republican party's nominee for president in the 2024 election.

💡donors

Donors financially support political candidates' campaigns. The video suggests other Republican candidates may soon drop out due to lack of donor support after trailing badly behind Trump.

💡protectionism

An economic policy of imposing tariffs and restrictions on tradepartners to protect domestic industries. As president, Trump has embraced protectionism, which could negatively impact tradedependent Canada.

💡North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA)

A trade agreement signed by Canada, USA and Mexico to enable free trade between the countries. Trump previously withdrew from NAFTA as president, showing his protectionist leanings.

💡trading partner

Countries that have significant trade relations and commercial exchanges of goods & services. Canada and USA are each other's largest trading partners, so disruption of trade ties by a protectionist Trump presidency could damage both economies.

💡protectionist

Favoring protectionist policies to limit international trade and safeguard domestic businesses. Both Trump and Biden hold protectionist views on trade, which is a concern for Canada.

💡diplomat

An official government representative who manages international relations and foreign policy matters. Trudeau plans to assign diplomats specifically to handle trade issues arising from a potential second Trump presidency.

💡vengeance

The act of retaliating to harm someone who has hurt you. The video warns that Trump may embark on a 'vengeance tour' against countries like Canada if re-elected, based on his aggressive victory speech tone.

💡volatility

Subject to frequent unpredictable changes. The video argues the economic climate is too volatile currently for Canada to withstand the trade unpredictability posed by Trump's protectionist policies.

Highlights

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Transcripts

for other issues so Donald Trump as

Tam's been telling you all morning here

it wasn't close last night in New

Hampshire Donald Trump wins a second

straight primary State something that's

very difficult to do like like Barack

Obama couldn't do this uh Hillary

Clinton couldn't do this it is very

tough to run the table on Iowa and New

Hampshire when you're in the

presidential primary season down in the

states Trump won over 54% of the vote

Nikki Haley the only other candidate

left standing says uh she's staying in

the race and she's still in it I got

news for uh Nikki Haley she isn't um

that was the results last night the next

big Republican contest Nevada have both

a ccus and a primary it's one of the

most confusing things I've ever seen

that happens in early February and then

they go to Haley's home state of South

Carolina February 24th this thing's

going to be completely wrapped up by

then I don't know how the donors stick

around and support uh former Governor

Haley at that point we also heard from

Justin Trudeau and Tams been running the

clip all morning at the at the liberal

retreat in Montreal yesterday talking

about how they're already preparing for

Canada's relationship with the US should

Trump get this done again or lose the

election and say he won again either way

this is going to be a thing big picture

I just want to go quickly Around the

Horn here Trump's not going anywhere he

may win how does this affect us in this

country Doo like what like how do we

process this because we've seen the show

before that is a big question it's

almost like like to me the primaries I

don't know I feel like it's a waste of

time and some of their money and the

donors and things like that because you

win these first two the rest of the

country doesn't really have a chance to

bring in because everyone's dropped out

by then because like you said they don't

have the money to do toughing now for

Nick Hill what it is so you know I I

because for us here the it's very

different to get the political leader of

that party put into place right it's

it's different this is the more have the

goodness right right because I was I

Wasing up on it our Democratic process

than theirs yeah cuz I'm like

help me understand what the primary or

with the caucus and all this stuff means

right so I was kind of going through all

of that uh but it it was just almost

it's unnecessary right now with Trump

because you know that lead is so much I

feel like there might be people coming

in to try and derail that with some of

these votes whether they like former

Governor Haley or not it's more I don't

want Trump in there for some of those

votes as they might not be for I want

her there that makes sense yeah anyone

but Trump kind of situation

Trump becomes the nominee and then faces

a criminal conviction it's possible that

is viewed as a massive trait yeah that

that is possible I think for us here in

Canada uh kind of like what Trudeau said

We have dealt with him before but the

thing is Trump is very unpredictable We

have dealt with Trump as he was then

Trump now may be a to totally different

president not in a good way it could be

something that would impact Canada so

much so that you know there's the US

protectionism they want to be able to

control and make instead of trade

everything within the us and we're the

largest trading partner what are we

going to do about that our our economies

are intertwined so much 100% yeah we

have huge national resources you know

there's there's there's a lot of

discussions with that and I think what I

really noticed you know last night was

it not necessarily that he won but how

he won and how heed to take sort of I

mean the

vitri kind of yeah because it was such a

you know a significant win and he had

the other one but but instead he came

back even worse even more vicious and I

think uh that is the person that our

prime minister is going to have to be

Reckoning with and that's those are

going to be some tough conversations I

mean Joe Biden he's he's pretty

protectionist too in his policies like

it's not like canis has it has had it

easy with Joe Biden just because they

talk they have different styles doesn't

mean they're not equally Pro

pro-american but like when when Trump

was first the president he ripped up the

North American Free Trade Agreement this

is not the economic environment where

our country can kind of stand that for a

prolonged period of time like there

things have changed here not just

politically but all over the place and

for our biggest trading partner all of a

sudden have that level of volatility I

don't I mean I mean the prime prime

minister Trudeau yesterday said we're

we're going to have two cabinet

ministers deal with it really so so

Trump's just going to change who the

Diplomat is and then you're back to

square one for us like it's going to

happen that quickly no one has any idea

how this is going to go and if Justin

Trudeau is going to try and paint a

picture that we got it covered we're

going to talk to people give me a break

they can barely handle their own

business let alone deal with what a

trump part two would look like I just I

I

I don't know where this is going to go

but just because what happened

previously happened doesn't mean you

have any clue how this is going to play

out because of his Vengeance tour that's

going to happen and don't think we're

not on it and the economic environment

of our lives right now it's a completely

different playing field no one knows how

this is going to go but we'll see uh